Home / Months / JanuaryWhat usually happens in January
The most consistent January strength has come from ASML (+15.04%, up 75% of years), Meta Platforms (+9.15%, up 71% of years), Microsoft (+5.07%, up 65% of years), Nickel (+4.76%, up 71% of years). The most consistent weakness: Natural gas (Henry Hub) (-5.16%, up 38% of years), USD/BRL (-0.99%, up 33% of years).
For the S&P 500, January has averaged +1.21% with gains in 63% of years, and an average absolute move of 3.97%.
Every market in January US indices European indices Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern FTSE MIB +1.38% +1.39% 62% 29 weak CAC 40 +1.01% +1.88% 58% 36 no clear pattern IBEX 35 +0.96% +1.20% 58% 33 no clear pattern DAX +0.85% +2.10% 59% 39 no clear pattern FTSE 100 +0.49% +0.94% 55% 42 no clear pattern Swiss Market Index +0.48% +0.33% 53% 36 no clear pattern Euro Stoxx 50 +0.13% +2.62% 53% 19 no clear pattern
Asia and emerging markets Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Ibovespa +5.14% -1.73% 48% 33 weak BIST 100 +3.37% +3.64% 69% 29 strong KOSPI +3.28% +1.89% 63% 30 moderate Nikkei 225 +1.35% +1.46% 66% 61 moderate Hang Seng +0.49% +1.28% 55% 40 no clear pattern
US stocks European stocks Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern ASML +15.04% +5.74% 75% 28 strong Airbus +2.83% +1.10% 56% 25 no clear pattern Siemens +2.82% +3.53% 67% 30 strong SAP +1.66% -0.41% 46% 28 no clear pattern LVMH +0.43% +0.65% 58% 26 no clear pattern Allianz +0.31% +0.38% 53% 30 no clear pattern TotalEnergies +0.27% +0.71% 58% 26 no clear pattern Nestlé -0.32% +0.46% 53% 36 no clear pattern Shell -1.27% -1.69% 40% 30 no clear pattern Novo Nordisk -5.67% -0.29% 48% 25 no clear pattern
Crypto Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Solana +47.32% +8.99% 50% 6 no clear pattern Ether +14.70% +0.05% 56% 9 no clear pattern XRP +10.85% -10.57% 44% 9 no clear pattern BNB +7.24% +1.68% 56% 9 no clear pattern Bitcoin -1.15% -3.46% 50% 12 no clear pattern
Energy Metals Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Nickel +4.76% +6.33% 71% 34 strong Silver +3.84% +3.56% 69% 26 strong Palladium +3.44% +3.63% 67% 27 strong Platinum +3.39% +2.83% 76% 29 strong Gold +2.95% +3.21% 65% 26 strong Aluminium +1.91% +1.44% 62% 34 strong Copper +1.90% +1.98% 65% 26 weak
Grains and oilseeds Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Corn +1.17% +1.80% 65% 26 weak Soybeans +0.42% +1.31% 65% 26 no clear pattern Wheat -1.05% -0.22% 50% 26 no clear pattern
Softs Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Sugar +2.36% +2.09% 65% 26 weak Cocoa +1.91% -0.21% 50% 26 no clear pattern Coffee (Arabica) +1.68% +1.67% 58% 26 no clear pattern Cotton +1.26% +0.24% 50% 26 no clear pattern
Livestock Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Live cattle +0.65% +0.83% 58% 24 no clear pattern Lean hogs -0.20% +1.70% 62% 26 no clear pattern
Rates Currencies
Pattern ratings combine consistency across both halves of the sample, the share of up years and a t-statistic. See the methodology .
December · February
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