TotalEnergies: seasonality, event history and insights
In October, TotalEnergies has averaged +1.77% and risen in 69% of 26 years (2000 to 2025). We rate the October pattern as moderate.
Last close 75.72 on October 6, 2026: -0.11% on the day, +41.00% this year, +0.03% so far in October.
Technicals
Month by month
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Last 10 years | Best | Worst | Years | Pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +0.27% | +0.71% | 58% | +2.11% | +14.21% | -14.29% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| February | +1.32% | +2.46% | 63% | +0.69% | +11.08% | -13.06% | 27 | weak |
| March | +1.42% | +0.67% | 56% | +3.29% | +21.53% | -7.69% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| April | +1.77% | +2.45% | 67% | -0.06% | +14.67% | -14.25% | 27 | moderate |
| May | +1.08% | +0.82% | 56% | +0.19% | +17.71% | -8.39% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| June | -0.20% | +0.40% | 52% | -1.28% | +8.25% | -8.38% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| July | +0.06% | -0.15% | 48% | +0.64% | +12.33% | -10.28% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| August | +0.26% | +0.06% | 52% | +0.97% | +5.99% | -10.12% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| September | +0.03% | +0.11% | 56% | +1.93% | +12.65% | -13.18% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| October | +1.77% | +2.10% | 69% | +1.36% | +14.14% | -11.58% | 26 | moderate |
| November | +1.43% | -0.03% | 50% | +3.89% | +38.75% | -8.65% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| December | +1.41% | +0.32% | 50% | +0.94% | +12.56% | -10.26% | 26 | no clear pattern |
What drives TotalEnergies
- Oil, gas and LNG prices, refining margins and its growing power business.
- Dividends paid in quarterly instalments.
Sell in May for TotalEnergies
From 2001 to 2025, the November to April half averaged +4.95% and the May to October half +3.01%. The winter half did better in 60% of 25 years. Compare all markets.
How TotalEnergies reacted to events
Average move from the close before each event. Day 1 is the close on the event day.
| Event | Cases | Day 1 | Day 5 | Day 20 | Up after 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil supply cuts (OPEC+ and disruptions) | 5 | +1.79% | +1.27% | +3.99% | 80% |
Year by year
Latest insights on TotalEnergies
Questions
What is the best month for TotalEnergies?
Since 2000, April has had the highest average move for TotalEnergies at +1.77%, rising in 67% of 27 years. October has the highest share of positive years (69%).
What is the worst month for TotalEnergies?
June has had the weakest average move at -0.20%, rising in 52% of 27 years.
How does TotalEnergies usually do in October?
TotalEnergies has averaged +1.77% in October (median +2.10%), rising in 69% of 26 years. We rate the pattern as moderate.
Alerts for TotalEnergies
Pick your markets. We email when something relevant moves. Free during launch.
Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.