Gasoline (RBOB): seasonality, event history and insights
In October, Gasoline (RBOB) has averaged -3.94% and risen in 48% of 25 years (2001 to 2025). We rate the October pattern as no clear pattern.
Last close 3.2732 on October 6, 2026: +0.83% on the day, +91.93% this year, -4.79% so far in October.
Technicals
Month by month
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Last 10 years | Best | Worst | Years | Pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +3.30% | +3.18% | 65% | +3.63% | +25.86% | -12.94% | 26 | moderate |
| February | +4.39% | +5.45% | 62% | +3.95% | +24.90% | -12.05% | 26 | strong |
| March | +13.12% | +13.14% | 92% | +10.88% | +59.41% | -58.93% | 26 | strong |
| April | +4.58% | +5.74% | 65% | +4.19% | +22.39% | -10.78% | 26 | strong |
| May | +1.64% | -0.15% | 50% | +3.02% | +47.02% | -17.10% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| June | -0.83% | +1.39% | 62% | +1.95% | +16.98% | -32.18% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| July | +1.54% | +2.46% | 58% | +3.08% | +12.58% | -12.95% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| August | +0.08% | -1.82% | 35% | -2.14% | +50.37% | -25.29% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| September | -6.90% | -8.43% | 23% | -7.26% | +18.45% | -24.93% | 26 | strong |
| October | -3.94% | -0.04% | 48% | -0.14% | +13.67% | -41.99% | 25 | no clear pattern |
| November | -3.45% | -2.98% | 28% | -4.40% | +19.00% | -20.47% | 25 | strong |
| December | +1.80% | +3.38% | 65% | +2.95% | +22.11% | -24.61% | 26 | weak |
What drives Gasoline (RBOB)
- The US summer driving season and the switch to summer-grade fuel each spring.
- Hurricane season can shut Gulf Coast refineries between June and November.
Sell in May for Gasoline (RBOB)
From 2002 to 2025, the November to April half averaged +21.77% and the May to October half -7.55%. The winter half did better in 83% of 24 years. Compare all markets.
Year by year
Latest insights on Gasoline (RBOB)
Questions
What is the best month for Gasoline (RBOB)?
Since 2000, March has had the highest average move for Gasoline (RBOB) at +13.12%, rising in 92% of 26 years. March has the highest share of positive years (92%).
What is the worst month for Gasoline (RBOB)?
September has had the weakest average move at -6.90%, rising in 23% of 26 years.
How does Gasoline (RBOB) usually do in October?
Gasoline (RBOB) has averaged -3.94% in October (median -0.04%), rising in 48% of 25 years. We rate the pattern as no clear pattern.
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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.