XRP: seasonality, event history and insights
In October, XRP has averaged -0.76% and risen in 38% of 8 years (2018 to 2025). We rate the October pattern as no clear pattern.
Last close 1.4973 on October 6, 2026: -0.67% on the day, -18.62% this year, +0.60% so far in October.
Technicals
Month by month
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Last 10 years | Best | Worst | Years | Pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +10.85% | -10.57% | 44% | +10.85% | +123.94% | -49.47% | 9 | no clear pattern |
| February | -5.51% | -7.19% | 33% | -5.51% | +26.31% | -29.31% | 9 | weak |
| March | +1.95% | -1.86% | 44% | +1.95% | +42.78% | -43.36% | 9 | no clear pattern |
| April | +23.22% | +2.03% | 67% | +23.22% | +177.36% | -27.93% | 9 | weak |
| May | -4.72% | -2.64% | 33% | -4.72% | +41.72% | -34.25% | 9 | weak |
| June | -15.15% | -13.32% | 11% | -15.15% | +2.93% | -32.51% | 9 | weak |
| July | +17.56% | +14.79% | 78% | +17.56% | +47.36% | -19.05% | 9 | weak |
| August | -0.29% | -9.24% | 33% | -0.29% | +58.81% | -26.87% | 9 | weak |
| September | +11.54% | +2.53% | 67% | +11.54% | +73.43% | -19.78% | 9 | weak |
| October | -0.76% | -1.87% | 38% | -0.76% | +16.86% | -22.90% | 8 | no clear pattern |
| November | +47.59% | -11.28% | 38% | +47.59% | +281.77% | -23.58% | 8 | no clear pattern |
| December | +76.95% | -14.83% | 33% | +76.95% | +817.01% | -66.91% | 9 | no clear pattern |
What drives XRP
- Payment and settlement adoption, legal and regulatory rulings in the US.
- Exchange listings and ETF developments.
Sell in May for XRP
From 2019 to 2025, the November to April half averaged +110.36% and the May to October half +0.16%. The winter half did better in 29% of 7 years. Compare all markets.
Year by year
Latest insights on XRP
Questions
What is the best month for XRP?
Since 2017, December has had the highest average move for XRP at +76.95%, rising in 33% of 9 years. July has the highest share of positive years (78%).
What is the worst month for XRP?
June has had the weakest average move at -15.15%, rising in 11% of 9 years.
How does XRP usually do in October?
XRP has averaged -0.76% in October (median -1.87%), rising in 38% of 8 years. We rate the pattern as no clear pattern.
Alerts for XRP
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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.