Corn: seasonality, event history and insights
In October, Corn has averaged +2.77% and risen in 62% of 26 years (2000 to 2025). We rate the October pattern as moderate.
Last close 508.00 on October 6, 2026: +2.16% on the day, +15.39% this year, +1.45% so far in October.
Technicals
Month by month
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Last 10 years | Best | Worst | Years | Pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +1.17% | +1.80% | 65% | +2.02% | +13.02% | -13.99% | 26 | weak |
| February | +1.35% | +2.20% | 62% | -0.73% | +11.42% | -7.45% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| March | +1.16% | +1.20% | 54% | +1.96% | +15.40% | -11.93% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| April | +1.42% | -0.74% | 46% | +2.99% | +31.15% | -8.58% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| May | +0.31% | -0.51% | 46% | -0.33% | +20.88% | -15.90% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| June | -2.52% | -4.84% | 31% | -3.14% | +21.12% | -20.29% | 26 | moderate |
| July | -3.80% | -4.20% | 38% | -5.85% | +19.93% | -26.54% | 26 | moderate |
| August | +0.42% | -0.54% | 44% | +0.14% | +16.85% | -14.80% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| September | +1.22% | +1.99% | 63% | +4.09% | +16.78% | -21.78% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| October | +2.77% | +1.32% | 62% | +1.92% | +22.19% | -17.64% | 26 | moderate |
| November | -0.96% | -1.09% | 35% | -0.89% | +17.54% | -12.95% | 26 | weak |
| December | +5.45% | +3.98% | 85% | +4.79% | +18.68% | -6.65% | 26 | strong |
What drives Corn
- US planting in spring and pollination weather in July create a weather premium that often fades into harvest.
- Harvest pressure from September to November, ethanol demand and Brazil's second crop.
Sell in May for Corn
From 2001 to 2025, the November to April half averaged +10.79% and the May to October half -2.51%. The winter half did better in 60% of 25 years. Compare all markets.
Year by year
Latest insights on Corn
Questions
What is the best month for Corn?
Since 2000, December has had the highest average move for Corn at +5.45%, rising in 85% of 26 years. December has the highest share of positive years (85%).
What is the worst month for Corn?
July has had the weakest average move at -3.80%, rising in 38% of 26 years.
How does Corn usually do in October?
Corn has averaged +2.77% in October (median +1.32%), rising in 62% of 26 years. We rate the pattern as moderate.
Alerts for Corn
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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.