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Question

What is the best month for Platinum?

Short answer

Since 1998, January has been the strongest month for Platinum, averaging +3.39% and rising in 76% of 29 years. March has been the weakest, at -1.69%.

We rate the January pattern as strong and the March pattern as no clear pattern. December comes second at +2.43%. A strong month is when prices have tended to rise, not a promise that they will.

Every month, ranked

Platinum, 1997 to 2026

+3.4%+1.7%-1.7%-3.4%Jan: average +3.39%, up in 76% of 29 yearsJanFeb: average +2.39%, up in 65% of 26 yearsFebMar: average -1.69%, up in 42% of 26 yearsMarApr: average +1.28%, up in 52% of 29 yearsAprMay: average -0.31%, up in 52% of 25 yearsMayJun: average -1.65%, up in 32% of 25 yearsJunJul: average +0.20%, up in 50% of 28 yearsJulAug: average +0.92%, up in 58% of 26 yearsAugSep: average -0.58%, up in 35% of 26 yearsSepOct: average +0.13%, up in 61% of 28 yearsOctNov: average +0.96%, up in 54% of 26 yearsNovDec: average +2.43%, up in 62% of 26 yearsDec
Platinum: average move by month. Solid bars held the same direction in both halves of the sample; faded bars did not.
RankMonthAverageMedianUp yearsPattern
1January+3.39%+2.83%76%strong
2December+2.43%+1.32%62%moderate
3February+2.39%+1.94%65%moderate
4April+1.28%+0.57%52%no clear pattern
5November+0.96%+1.40%54%no clear pattern
6August+0.92%+2.07%58%no clear pattern
7July+0.20%+0.57%50%no clear pattern
8October+0.13%+1.29%61%no clear pattern
9May-0.31%+0.23%52%no clear pattern
10September-0.58%-1.52%35%no clear pattern
11June-1.65%-2.61%32%moderate
12March-1.69%-1.78%42%no clear pattern

Exact date ranges

Seasonal windows that held in at least 75% of years

Jan 1 to Feb 20Opens in 85 days
82%higher in 28 years
Average +5.82%Median +4.15%Worst year -14.73%

Likely range of the hit rate 64% to 92%. 1998 to 2011: 86%, 2012 to 2025: 79%.

Mar 30 to Apr 19Opens in 173 days
86%higher in 28 years
Average +3.14%Median +2.56%Worst year -9.41%

Likely range of the hit rate 69% to 94%. 1998 to 2011: 100%, 2012 to 2025: 71%. Weaker in recent years.

May 21 to Jun 25Opens in 225 days
82%lower in 28 years
Average -2.17%Median -2.33%Worst year +22.82%

Likely range of the hit rate 64% to 92%. 1998 to 2011: 43%, 2012 to 2025: 93%.

Nov 11 to Dec 31Opens in 34 days
75%higher in 28 years
Average +3.89%Median +2.33%Worst year -14.92%

Likely range of the hit rate 57% to 87%. 1998 to 2011: 93%, 2012 to 2025: 57%. Weaker in recent years.

Why it might happen

  • Autocatalyst demand for diesel and hybrid vehicles, jewellery and supply concentrated in South Africa.

Full statistics, technicals and event reactions: Platinum. How to read these numbers: guide.

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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.