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Allianz: seasonality, event history and insights

In October, Allianz has averaged +2.72% and risen in 66% of 29 years (1997 to 2025). We rate the October pattern as weak.

Last close 420.70 on October 6, 2026: +0.36% on the day, +12.69% this year, +1.06% so far in October.

Last close
420.70
Day
+0.36%
1 month
-6.64%
Year to date
+12.69%
1 year
+21.23%
From 52-week high
-7.19%

Technicals

RSI (14)
41.8
Versus 50-day
-3.82%
Versus 200-day
+7.95%
Trend
50-day above 200-day

No active signal today. We track 52-week highs and lows, RSI extremes and 50/200-day crossovers.

+4.2%+2.1%-2.1%-4.2%Jan: average +0.31%, up in 53% of 30 yearsJanFeb: average -0.08%, up in 60% of 30 yearsFebMar: average +0.50%, up in 60% of 30 yearsMarApr: average +3.38%, up in 57% of 30 yearsAprMay: average -0.87%, up in 43% of 30 yearsMayJun: average +0.40%, up in 57% of 30 yearsJunJul: average +1.84%, up in 60% of 30 yearsJulAug: average -2.05%, up in 47% of 30 yearsAugSep: average -1.03%, up in 53% of 30 yearsSepOct: average +2.72%, up in 66% of 29 yearsOctNov: average +4.24%, up in 76% of 29 yearsNovDec: average +2.61%, up in 76% of 29 yearsDec
Allianz: average return by calendar month, 1997 to 2026. Solid bars held the same direction in both halves of the sample; faded bars did not.

Month by month

MonthAverageMedianUp yearsLast 10 yearsBestWorstYearsPattern
January+0.31%+0.38%53%+2.60%+18.75% 1998-19.26% 200830no clear pattern
February-0.08%+2.31%60%+0.33%+8.29% 2012-18.87% 200930no clear pattern
March+0.50%+1.97%60%+0.42%+19.08% 2000-31.69% 200330weak
April+3.38%+2.58%57%+3.78%+43.00% 2003-6.80% 201030weak
May-0.87%-0.81%43%-0.47%+11.01% 2013-10.53% 199930no clear pattern
June+0.40%+0.33%57%+2.10%+12.39% 2003-14.51% 200230no clear pattern
July+1.84%+1.44%60%+1.25%+31.25% 2003-28.93% 200230weak
August-2.05%-0.76%47%+0.42%+16.50% 2009-22.54% 199830no clear pattern
September-1.03%+1.50%53%-0.22%+7.37% 1997-33.85% 200230no clear pattern
October+2.72%+4.89%66%+1.25%+22.42% 2002-39.74% 200829weak
November+4.24%+4.39%76%+5.62%+30.85% 2020-9.16% 200729strong
December+2.61%+3.60%76%+1.47%+15.62% 1999-19.21% 200229strong

Returns from the last close of the previous month to the last close of the month. Source: Yahoo Finance (ALV.DE). Download monthly data (CSV).

What drives Allianz

Sell in May for Allianz

From 1998 to 2025, the November to April half averaged +10.40% and the May to October half +0.16%. The winter half did better in 79% of 28 years. Compare all markets.

Year by year

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2026-4.82.8-6.08.32.68.54.44.2-7.7
20256.35.16.63.4-0.1-1.30.94.0-1.1-2.66.94.9
20242.42.49.4-4.06.0-3.30.57.75.0-1.91.01.3
20239.11.4-4.26.9-7.36.62.03.20.6-2.14.44.9
20229.5-10.66.5-0.2-5.0-6.6-2.6-4.9-4.012.612.2-1.7
2021-7.17.18.6-0.34.1-2.4-0.1-5.3-2.13.2-4.37.9
2020-1.2-9.8-19.57.72.511.6-3.03.0-9.9-7.730.91.5
20195.65.81.48.3-3.36.6-0.8-4.76.72.4-0.80.5
20186.3-5.6-4.57.1-6.50.46.8-2.94.5-3.91.1-6.1
2017-0.14.75.80.72.20.94.4-0.15.75.0-0.6-3.4
2016-9.1-7.74.23.74.0-12.90.44.1-1.17.55.54.8
20156.62.28.2-5.7-2.1-2.16.7-4.6-1.413.65.2-2.5
2014-5.04.8-5.41.84.0-2.22.63.9-1.1-1.39.3-0.8
20130.5-0.61.25.811.0-6.34.4-7.57.26.63.22.0
201213.78.3-1.7-5.9-8.28.22.57.66.13.34.54.8
201114.12.9-5.17.3-5.50.2-5.5-21.2-1.214.6-5.2-4.0

Monthly change in percent. Most recent years at the top.

Latest insights on Allianz

No insights here yet. New ones arrive every weekday morning.

Questions

What is the best month for Allianz?

Since 1997, November has had the highest average move for Allianz at +4.24%, rising in 76% of 29 years. November has the highest share of positive years (76%).

What is the worst month for Allianz?

August has had the weakest average move at -2.05%, rising in 47% of 30 years.

How does Allianz usually do in October?

Allianz has averaged +2.72% in October (median +4.89%), rising in 66% of 29 years. We rate the pattern as weak.

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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.