Palladium: seasonality, event history and insights
In October, Palladium has averaged +0.65% and risen in 56% of 27 years (1998 to 2025). We rate the October pattern as no clear pattern.
Last close 1,163.60 on October 6, 2026: -0.31% on the day, -28.58% this year, -3.15% so far in October.
Technicals
| Signal now | Date | Past cases | Avg next 20 sessions | Higher after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New 52-week low | Oct 2 | 33 | -2.96% | 48% |
Month by month
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Last 10 years | Best | Worst | Years | Pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +3.44% | +3.63% | 67% | +4.75% | +23.12% | -17.63% | 27 | strong |
| February | +1.91% | +2.17% | 59% | +1.12% | +46.89% | -20.65% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| March | -0.17% | +2.86% | 57% | -1.71% | +26.53% | -25.13% | 28 | no clear pattern |
| April | -0.14% | +2.61% | 58% | +0.28% | +16.02% | -16.34% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| May | -2.69% | -3.07% | 31% | -4.54% | +18.59% | -16.75% | 26 | strong |
| June | -1.54% | -2.24% | 36% | +1.20% | +14.88% | -16.51% | 28 | weak |
| July | +3.16% | +4.43% | 73% | +3.24% | +26.24% | -23.08% | 26 | strong |
| August | -1.46% | -0.90% | 46% | +0.43% | +10.88% | -20.75% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| September | -0.47% | +2.95% | 68% | +1.50% | +14.32% | -26.09% | 28 | no clear pattern |
| October | +0.65% | +1.39% | 56% | -0.54% | +14.34% | -15.83% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| November | +1.03% | +1.65% | 59% | +1.45% | +24.97% | -19.95% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| December | +4.76% | +4.66% | 68% | +3.05% | +27.85% | -12.04% | 28 | strong |
What drives Palladium
- Petrol-car autocatalysts; supply concentrated in Russia and South Africa.
- Electric vehicles reduce long-run demand.
Sell in May for Palladium
From 1999 to 2025, the November to April half averaged +12.14% and the May to October half +3.50%. The winter half did better in 64% of 25 years. Compare all markets.
Year by year
Latest insights on Palladium
Questions
What is the best month for Palladium?
Since 1998, December has had the highest average move for Palladium at +4.76%, rising in 68% of 28 years. July has the highest share of positive years (73%).
What is the worst month for Palladium?
May has had the weakest average move at -2.69%, rising in 31% of 26 years.
How does Palladium usually do in October?
Palladium has averaged +0.65% in October (median +1.39%), rising in 56% of 27 years. We rate the pattern as no clear pattern.
Alerts for Palladium
Pick your markets. We email when something relevant moves. Free during launch.
Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.