Home / Months / OctoberWhat usually happens in October
The most consistent October strength has come from Bitcoin (+16.63%, up 75% of years), Alphabet (+8.69%, up 73% of years), ASML (+7.52%, up 68% of years), Natural gas (Henry Hub) (+7.37%, up 65% of years). The most consistent weakness: Lean hogs (-5.56%, up 28% of years), Cocoa (-2.80%, up 35% of years).
For the S&P 500, October has averaged +0.55% with gains in 59% of years, and an average absolute move of 4.28%.
Every market in October US indices European indices Asia and emerging markets Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern BIST 100 +4.28% +4.54% 62% 29 moderate Ibovespa +1.31% +1.79% 64% 33 weak Hang Seng +0.76% +2.76% 67% 39 moderate Nikkei 225 +0.40% +0.24% 52% 61 no clear pattern KOSPI -0.43% -0.32% 45% 29 no clear pattern
US stocks European stocks Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern ASML +7.52% +4.46% 68% 28 strong Airbus +4.97% +4.78% 72% 25 strong LVMH +4.30% +4.79% 73% 26 strong Siemens +3.08% +2.47% 52% 29 no clear pattern SAP +2.73% +1.05% 54% 28 no clear pattern Allianz +2.72% +4.89% 66% 29 weak TotalEnergies +1.77% +2.10% 69% 26 moderate Shell +1.60% +2.44% 70% 30 strong Nestlé +1.12% +1.46% 61% 36 moderate Novo Nordisk +0.30% +0.92% 56% 25 no clear pattern
Crypto Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Bitcoin +16.63% +12.94% 75% 12 strong Solana +12.49% +4.27% 50% 6 no clear pattern BNB +10.23% +6.69% 75% 8 weak Ether +6.73% +4.84% 63% 8 weak XRP -0.76% -1.87% 38% 8 no clear pattern
Energy Metals Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Silver +0.85% +0.84% 62% 26 weak Palladium +0.65% +1.39% 56% 27 no clear pattern Gold +0.13% +0.35% 50% 26 no clear pattern Platinum +0.13% +1.29% 61% 28 no clear pattern Aluminium +0.11% +0.60% 56% 34 no clear pattern Copper -0.21% -0.43% 46% 26 no clear pattern Nickel -1.38% -0.07% 47% 34 no clear pattern
Grains and oilseeds Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Corn +2.77% +1.32% 62% 26 moderate Soybeans +2.04% +1.06% 62% 26 weak Wheat +0.48% +2.59% 62% 26 no clear pattern
Softs Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Sugar +3.28% +2.23% 65% 26 moderate Cotton +0.67% +1.24% 65% 26 no clear pattern Coffee (Arabica) -1.10% -1.58% 42% 26 no clear pattern Cocoa -2.80% -2.83% 35% 26 moderate
Livestock Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Live cattle +2.80% +2.22% 68% 25 strong Lean hogs -5.56% -6.30% 28% 25 strong
Rates Currencies Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern USD/TRY +0.88% +0.41% 62% 21 weak US dollar index (DXY) -0.01% -0.13% 45% 55 no clear pattern USD/JPY -0.19% +0.47% 55% 29 no clear pattern GBP/USD -0.21% +0.05% 50% 22 no clear pattern EUR/USD -0.28% +0.44% 55% 22 no clear pattern USD/BRL -0.77% -1.55% 45% 20 no clear pattern
Pattern ratings combine consistency across both halves of the sample, the share of up years and a t-statistic. See the methodology .
September · November
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