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Question

What is the best month for TotalEnergies?

Short answer

Since 2000, April has been the strongest month for TotalEnergies, averaging +1.77% and rising in 67% of 27 years. June has been the weakest, at -0.20%.

We rate the April pattern as moderate and the June pattern as no clear pattern. October comes second at +1.77%. A strong month is when prices have tended to rise, not a promise that they will.

Every month, ranked

TotalEnergies, 2000 to 2026

+1.8%+0.9%-0.9%-1.8%Jan: average +0.27%, up in 58% of 26 yearsJanFeb: average +1.32%, up in 63% of 27 yearsFebMar: average +1.47%, up in 58% of 26 yearsMarApr: average +1.77%, up in 67% of 27 yearsAprMay: average +1.12%, up in 58% of 26 yearsMayJun: average -0.20%, up in 52% of 27 yearsJunJul: average +0.06%, up in 48% of 27 yearsJulAug: average +0.26%, up in 52% of 27 yearsAugSep: average +0.03%, up in 56% of 27 yearsSepOct: average +1.77%, up in 69% of 26 yearsOctNov: average +1.43%, up in 50% of 26 yearsNovDec: average +1.41%, up in 50% of 26 yearsDec
TotalEnergies: average move by month. Solid bars held the same direction in both halves of the sample; faded bars did not.
RankMonthAverageMedianUp yearsPattern
1April+1.77%+2.45%67%moderate
2October+1.77%+2.10%69%moderate
3March+1.47%+1.15%58%no clear pattern
4November+1.43%-0.03%50%no clear pattern
5December+1.41%+0.32%50%no clear pattern
6February+1.32%+2.46%63%weak
7May+1.12%+0.90%58%no clear pattern
8January+0.27%+0.71%58%no clear pattern
9August+0.26%+0.06%52%no clear pattern
10July+0.06%-0.15%48%no clear pattern
11September+0.03%+0.11%56%no clear pattern
12June-0.20%+0.40%52%no clear pattern

Exact date ranges

Seasonal windows that held in at least 75% of years

Jan 23 to Feb 22Opens in 107 days
76%higher in 25 years
Average +2.03%Median +1.74%Worst year -6.39%

Likely range of the hit rate 57% to 89%. 2001 to 2012: 83%, 2013 to 2025: 69%. Weaker in recent years.

Mar 18 to May 27Opens in 161 days
76%higher in 25 years
Average +5.74%Median +4.38%Worst year -16.16%

Likely range of the hit rate 57% to 89%. 2001 to 2012: 75%, 2013 to 2025: 77%.

Jul 26 to Aug 30Opens in 291 days
76%higher in 25 years
Average +1.18%Median +1.39%Worst year -14.93%

Likely range of the hit rate 57% to 89%. 2001 to 2012: 75%, 2013 to 2025: 77%.

Oct 4 to Dec 23Open now, 76 days left
76%higher in 25 years
Average +4.72%Median +3.84%Worst year -16.78%

Likely range of the hit rate 57% to 89%. 2001 to 2012: 75%, 2013 to 2025: 77%.

Why it might happen

  • Oil, gas and LNG prices, refining margins and its growing power business.
  • Dividends paid in quarterly instalments.

Full statistics, technicals and event reactions: TotalEnergies. How to read these numbers: guide.

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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.