Gasoline (RBOB) vs WTI crude oil: which is stronger each month?
Gasoline (RBOB) has been strongest in March (+5.33%) and weakest in October (-3.51%). WTI crude oil has been strongest in February (+3.54%) and weakest in November (-2.66%). Gasoline (RBOB) had the higher average in 7 of 12 months, and the two pointed the same way in 11 of 12.
Month by month
| Month | Gasoline (RBOB) average | Gasoline (RBOB) up years | WTI average | WTI up years | Stronger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +2.85% | 65% | +1.99% | 54% | Gasoline (RBOB) |
| February | +3.95% | 58% | +3.54% | 73% | Gasoline (RBOB) |
| March | +5.33% | 92% | +2.59% | 58% | Gasoline (RBOB) |
| April | +3.44% | 62% | +2.33% | 65% | Gasoline (RBOB) |
| May | +1.44% | 54% | +2.95% | 46% | WTI |
| June | +0.18% | 62% | +2.11% | 65% | WTI |
| July | +1.54% | 58% | +1.55% | 69% | WTI |
| August | +0.32% | 38% | -0.71% | 50% | Gasoline (RBOB) |
| September | -0.01% | 46% | -0.97% | 41% | Gasoline (RBOB) |
| October | -3.51% | 48% | -1.77% | 46% | WTI |
| November | -2.73% | 28% | -2.66% | 42% | WTI |
| December | +0.89% | 65% | +0.26% | 58% | Gasoline (RBOB) |
Gasoline (RBOB) since 2000, WTI crude oil since 2000, monthly close to close, as of October 16, 2026. The highlighted row is the current month. Monthly correlation over the last 16 years: 0.79.
More on each market
Questions
What is the best month for Gasoline (RBOB)?
Since 2001, March has averaged +5.33% for Gasoline (RBOB), higher in 92% of 26 years.
What is the best month for WTI crude oil?
Since 2001, February has averaged +3.54% for WTI crude oil, higher in 73% of 26 years.
Do Gasoline (RBOB) and WTI crude oil move together?
Over the last 16 years their monthly moves had a correlation of 0.79, where 1 means they always move together and 0 means no link.
History describes the past. Not investment advice.
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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.