Bitcoin vs Nasdaq Composite: which is stronger each month?
Bitcoin has been strongest in October (+16.63%) and weakest in January (-1.15%). Nasdaq Composite has been strongest in January (+2.47%) and weakest in September (-0.72%). Bitcoin had the higher average in 8 of 12 months, and the two pointed the same way in 11 of 12.
Month by month
| Month | Bitcoin average | Bitcoin up years | Nasdaq average | Nasdaq up years | Stronger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | -1.15% | 50% | +2.47% | 67% | Nasdaq |
| February | +10.19% | 75% | +0.40% | 51% | Bitcoin |
| March | +0.48% | 50% | +0.56% | 63% | Nasdaq |
| April | +10.16% | 67% | +1.58% | 66% | Bitcoin |
| May | +8.08% | 50% | +1.38% | 63% | Bitcoin |
| June | +0.05% | 50% | +1.02% | 57% | Nasdaq |
| July | +8.88% | 75% | +0.85% | 57% | Bitcoin |
| August | +1.95% | 33% | +0.40% | 57% | Bitcoin |
| September | -1.14% | 50% | -0.72% | 54% | Nasdaq |
| October | +16.63% | 75% | +0.77% | 55% | Bitcoin |
| November | +7.51% | 58% | +2.06% | 71% | Bitcoin |
| December | +7.14% | 42% | +1.49% | 60% | Bitcoin |
Bitcoin since 2014, Nasdaq Composite since 1971, monthly close to close, as of October 16, 2026. The highlighted row is the current month. Monthly correlation over the last 12 years: 0.34.
More on each market
Questions
What is the best month for Bitcoin?
Since 2014, October has averaged +16.63% for Bitcoin, higher in 75% of 12 years.
What is the best month for Nasdaq Composite?
Since 1972, January has averaged +2.47% for Nasdaq Composite, higher in 67% of 55 years.
Do Bitcoin and Nasdaq Composite move together?
Over the last 12 years their monthly moves had a correlation of 0.34, where 1 means they always move together and 0 means no link.
History describes the past. Not investment advice.
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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.