Aluminium: seasonality, event history and insights
In October, Aluminium has averaged +0.11% and risen in 56% of 34 years (1992 to 2025). We rate the October pattern as no clear pattern.
Latest monthly average: 3,158.27 (2026-07), -8.16% on the month.
Month by month
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Last 10 years | Best | Worst | Years | Pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +1.91% | +1.44% | 62% | +3.21% | +11.52% | -5.59% | 34 | strong |
| February | +0.97% | +0.50% | 57% | +0.70% | +13.39% | -7.93% | 35 | no clear pattern |
| March | +0.10% | -0.02% | 49% | +1.33% | +10.04% | -6.93% | 35 | no clear pattern |
| April | +0.63% | +1.04% | 51% | +0.77% | +12.10% | -10.70% | 35 | no clear pattern |
| May | -0.65% | -0.44% | 46% | -0.40% | +8.70% | -12.55% | 35 | no clear pattern |
| June | -1.16% | -1.14% | 40% | -1.68% | +7.70% | -12.66% | 35 | weak |
| July | +0.88% | +2.08% | 66% | -1.53% | +6.68% | -8.16% | 35 | no clear pattern |
| August | +0.27% | -0.23% | 47% | +1.25% | +15.39% | -9.94% | 34 | no clear pattern |
| September | -0.21% | -0.46% | 50% | +0.94% | +11.98% | -8.63% | 34 | no clear pattern |
| October | +0.11% | +0.60% | 56% | +2.47% | +7.87% | -15.93% | 34 | no clear pattern |
| November | +0.52% | -0.29% | 47% | +0.30% | +11.31% | -12.48% | 34 | no clear pattern |
| December | +0.89% | +1.24% | 59% | +0.58% | +11.49% | -18.99% | 34 | no clear pattern |
What drives Aluminium
- Power-intensive smelting links prices to energy costs; China produces more than half of world supply.
- Tariffs and sanctions on Russian metal reshape trade flows.
Sell in May for Aluminium
From 1993 to 2025, the November to April half averaged +4.36% and the May to October half +0.38%. The winter half did better in 58% of 33 years. Compare all markets.
Year by year
Latest insights on Aluminium
Questions
What is the best month for Aluminium?
Since 1992, January has had the highest average move for Aluminium at +1.91%, rising in 62% of 34 years. July has the highest share of positive years (66%).
What is the worst month for Aluminium?
June has had the weakest average move at -1.16%, rising in 40% of 35 years.
How does Aluminium usually do in October?
Aluminium has averaged +0.11% in October (median +0.60%), rising in 56% of 34 years. We rate the pattern as no clear pattern.
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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.