How do stocks do in a midterm election year?
Midterm years have been the weakest year of the four-year cycle, averaging +3.33%, but their fourth quarter has been strong: +5.55% on average, up in 83% of 24 cases.
Over the 12 months after a midterm-year September the S&P 500 averaged +17.09%. 2026 is a midterm year. Presidential cycle study.
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