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Question

What is the best month for Nestlé?

Short answer

Since 1990, April has been the strongest month for Nestlé, averaging +2.27% and rising in 78% of 37 years. September has been the weakest, at -0.79%.

We rate the April pattern as strong and the September pattern as moderate. February comes second at +1.67%. A strong month is when prices have tended to rise, not a promise that they will.

Every month, ranked

Nestlé, 1990 to 2026

+2.3%+1.1%-1.1%-2.3%Jan: average -0.32%, up in 53% of 36 yearsJanFeb: average +1.67%, up in 73% of 37 yearsFebMar: average +1.64%, up in 68% of 37 yearsMarApr: average +2.27%, up in 78% of 37 yearsAprMay: average +1.32%, up in 56% of 36 yearsMayJun: average -0.32%, up in 54% of 37 yearsJunJul: average +0.25%, up in 41% of 37 yearsJulAug: average +0.66%, up in 56% of 36 yearsAugSep: average -0.79%, up in 31% of 36 yearsSepOct: average +1.12%, up in 61% of 36 yearsOctNov: average +0.41%, up in 64% of 36 yearsNovDec: average +1.33%, up in 64% of 36 yearsDec
Nestlé: average move by month. Solid bars held the same direction in both halves of the sample; faded bars did not.
RankMonthAverageMedianUp yearsPattern
1April+2.27%+2.68%78%strong
2February+1.67%+2.70%73%strong
3March+1.64%+0.85%68%strong
4December+1.33%+0.90%64%moderate
5May+1.32%+1.60%56%weak
6October+1.12%+1.46%61%moderate
7August+0.66%+0.80%56%no clear pattern
8November+0.41%+0.84%64%no clear pattern
9July+0.25%-0.36%41%no clear pattern
10January-0.32%+0.46%53%no clear pattern
11June-0.32%+0.85%54%no clear pattern
12September-0.79%-1.11%31%moderate

Exact date ranges

Seasonal windows that held in at least 75% of years

Feb 14 to May 10Opens in 129 days
100%higher in 30 years
Average +7.52%Median +5.96%Worst year +0.16%

Likely range of the hit rate 89% to 100%. 1996 to 2010: 100%, 2011 to 2025: 100%.

Oct 24 to Nov 18Opens in 16 days
77%higher in 30 years
Average +1.86%Median +2.28%Worst year -9.21%

Likely range of the hit rate 59% to 88%. 1996 to 2010: 87%, 2011 to 2025: 67%. Weaker in recent years.

Dec 19 to Dec 29Opens in 72 days
80%higher in 30 years
Average +1.19%Median +1.08%Worst year -2.71%

Likely range of the hit rate 63% to 90%. 1996 to 2010: 80%, 2011 to 2025: 80%.

Why it might happen

  • Pricing power and volumes in packaged food, coffee and pet care.
  • Input costs, especially coffee and cocoa, and the Swiss franc.

Full statistics, technicals and event reactions: Nestlé. How to read these numbers: guide.

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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.